The Weekly Standard editor broke a very long losing streak when he predicted Donald Trump wouldn’t win the Iowa caucuses (though he did proclaim “peak Trump” 11 previous times). Sadly, it appears Iowa was a fluke. Kristol did not suddenly improve his prognostication skills. Here is his February 4 tweet about what he expected to happen tonight:
NH prediction, 5 days out: Rubio 25, Cruz 22, Trump 19, Kasich 17, others single digits. #NoGutsNoGlory
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) February 4, 2016
Since then, Marco Rubio imploded in a GOP debate. Votes are still being counted, so we don’t have the final numbers yet. But do know Rubio did not win the New Hampshire primary. We also know Trump won, with more than 19 percent.