On Monday morning, the president tweeted:
Sadly, it looks like Mexico’s Police and Military are unable to stop the Caravan heading to the Southern Border of the United States. Criminals and unknown Middle Easterners are mixed in. I have alerted Border Patrol and Military that this is a National Emergy. Must change laws!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 22, 2018
The likely inspiration for this tweet was a segment of Fox & Friends, one of the president’s favorite shows, that aired earlier in the day where a guest linked the migrants to ISIS and the Taliban. ABC News, which has a team in Mexico, found no “Middle Easterners” among the migrants.
Leaving aside the factual question, the linkage of Latin American immigration with terrorism is an old Republic trope, one that goes back to at least the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and has been constantly revived since. In 2014, Tom Cotton, then running for Senator of Arkansas, exploited this alleged threat. “Groups like the Islamic State collaborate with drug cartels in Mexico who have clearly shown they’re willing to expand outside the drug trade into human trafficking and potentially even terrorism,” he told a town-hall. “They could infiltrate our defenseless border and attack us right here in places like Arkansas.” Cotton would go on to win the election.
As New York Times TV critic James Poniewozik notes, Trump himself indulged in this sort of scare-mongering in 2014.
In October 2014 before the midterms, GOP candidates & media suddenly filled up with charges that thanks to a "border crisis," ISIS was sending terrorists over from Mexico. (In some embellishments, they had Ebola too.) Trump's basically running a sequel. https://t.co/WxkjJgZsYn
— James Poniewozik (@poniewozik) October 22, 2018
Anyone covering the midterms would benefit from scanning Trump's tweets from 2014, which was when his Twitter feed became basically full-time political, he learned to mimic whatever anxiety Fox was sending out, and he first tweeted about "The Wall."
— James Poniewozik (@poniewozik) October 22, 2018
Here's Trump in October 2014, tweeting about an ISIS-swarming-from-Mexico claim that GOP Rep Duncan Hunter had made on Fox. The story was debunked. But the GOP did well in the midterms. And "Build the wall" stuck around. pic.twitter.com/VTSP9kBd6q
— James Poniewozik (@poniewozik) October 22, 2018
Xenophobic conspiracy mongering paid off big for the Republican Party in the 2014 midterms. Facing a more difficult electoral terrain in 2018, they are hoping it’ll work again.