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PODCAST

The Serious Case for Not Panicking About Trump’s Scary New Polling

The race is too close, and Trump could win. But there’s a decent argument out there holding that the pieces are in place for Kamala Harris to prevail. A perceptive data analyst explains it.

Donald Trump looks at something side-eye
Bill Pugliano/Getty Images
Former President Donald Trump speaks in Pottersville, Michigan, on August 29.

On Tuesday night, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump will face off in their first debate. It goes without saying that the stakes are very high, as polls now show the two of them effectively tied, with perhaps a slight edge to Harris. Yet some analysts out there have made good arguments holding that the pieces really are in place for her to win this thing. We talked to Lakshya Jain of the data firm Split Ticket, who digs into what Harris has to accomplish at the debateand why he’s cautiously optimistic that she will ultimately defeat him. Listen to this episode here.