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PODCAST

Trump Suddenly Behind in Must-Win Pennsylvania, Four New Polls Show

As new high-quality polls show Kamala Harris ahead, a veteran Democratic operative from the Keystone State explains what the path to victory looks like—and what could still go wrong.

Donald Trump looks downcast
Jeff Kowalsky/AFP via Getty Images
Former President Donald Trump in Flint, Michigan, on September 17, 2024.

If Donald Trump loses Pennsylvania, he almost certainly will lose the presidential election. Now, all of a sudden, we have four new high-quality polls showing Kamala Harris ahead, though some others show it tied. Why the heck is Pennsylvania so close? What is really going on there? Should we believe the polls? Or not? We chatted with Democratic strategist Rebecca Katz, who is from Pennsylvania herself, worked on Senator John Fetterman’s victorious 2022 campaign, and knows something about winning there. Katz explained what Harris’s path to victory in the state looks like—and the looming obstacles that still keep her awake at night. Listen to this episode here.