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Hillary By 15?

Is this really possible? An ARG poll released Christmas eve shows Hillary with a 34-19 lead over Obama among likely caucus-goers, and John Edwards at 20 percent.

It certainly defies the trend from the lastest Pollster.com trendline, which shows that Obama has actually slipped just ahead of Clinton. 

Update: Mysterious GOP operative "Richelieu" isn't buying it

--Michael Crowley