The poll-whisperer shared a map, based on current polling, of a general election held today between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump and—spoiler!—it’s not close.
Never mind key swing states like Ohio, Virginia, and Florida. The Republicans are in jeopardy of losing states like North Carolina, Arizona, and even Georgia if these numbers hold. All told, the margin of victory could exceed that of President Obama’s sweeping 2008 win over John McCain.
Here's what the map might look like in an election held today. Trump's Rust Belt strength would help him keep MO, IN pic.twitter.com/OYueYvWFpG
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) March 24, 2016
As Silver notes, a lot can change in eight months. But Clinton has consistently led Trump in national head-to-head polling by substantial margins, and Silver based his map on a roughly 10-point edge in favor of the Democrats.