Bernie’s Boring Path to Victory
After all the talk of revolution and expanding the electorate, what if Sanders simply wins the same way an utterly conventional Democrat would?
Polling
Hate Is on the Ballot
The hidden dynamic that’s transformed our politics—and will loom large in the 2020 election
Democrats Are Playing a Perilous Game With Data
As primary competitors toss around “internal numbers” to claim victory in the early contests, they’re setting a Trumpian precedent.
Don't Put Much Stock in That Poll Calling Obama the Worst President
Bush was the "worst," too
538 Is All Wrong About My Turnout Projections
Conventional outlets don't get to look at voter files. I do.
Baitless Switch
Rhode Island Gov. Lincoln Chafee is a Democrat now. That doesn't mean his re-election is assured.
Black Turnout in 2012 Might Not Have Been Historic
The inherent flaws of the Census' population survey
The New Census Data That Should Terrify Republicans
Obama's coalition may only grow stronger after he leaves office
Why It's Difficult to Predict the Outcome of Mark Sanford vs. Elizabeth Colbert Busch
Tuesday's special election in South Carolina is a true toss-up
Ted Cruz Isn't Destined to Lose in a Landslide
The Texas senator is mulling a 2016 run. Don't count on Goldwater redux.
