Trump Is Waging a Catastrophic War on Data | The New Republic
Funny Numbers

Trump Is Waging a Catastrophic War on Data

A president steeped in lies seeks to cut of the flow of accurate information at its source.

Donald Trump moves charts in the Oval Office of the White House in Washigton, D.C.
Yuri Gripas/Getty Images

“I’ve been right about everything,” Trump said at the United Nations on Tuesday, deriding clean energy as a “green scam” and the notion of a carbon footprint as a “hoax made up by people of evil intentions.” He was on a roll, having just insisted that Tylenol causes autism if women take it when pregnant.

Trump has always made things up. Remember that he entered politics promoting the hoax that Obama wasn’t born in the United States. But what’s new about Trump’s second presidency is that not only have his lies escalated in dimension and scope, becoming increasingly brazen and weird—London is under sharia law!but he’s also waging a concerted all-out war on facts that contradict his narrative, which is to say, all reliable sources of data.

The U.S. government has long been one of the best sources of data on earth, and, relative to other governments, ours has long made this easily accessible to journalists and citizenry alike. All that is grinding to a halt under Trump, who doesn’t want any facts to get in the way of his made-up stories. From now on, there will be as little data as possible, and that’s by design.

To declare that Trump has been right and the scientists have been wrong about climate change is so counterfactual that it requires a massive suppression of available data. Good thing Trump has thought of that. Through a combination of layoffs and weird directives, his administration has dramatically reduced its ability to collect data on industrial pollution that causes climate change, extreme weather caused by climate change, greenhouse gases contributing to climate changereally any facts related to the climate crisis. To take just one example, an effort launched by the Biden administration to collect emissions data was canceled by Trump on his first day in office. The same could be said about his Tylenol claims; lucky for him he has made significant cuts to autism research.

Speaking of autism claims, the wild misinformation from Trump and RFK Jr. about vaccine safetyincluding that vaccines (much like his claims about Tylenol) cause autismwill go insufficiently challenged since he has cut vaccine research by more than half a billion dollars.

Trump’s commitment to falsehoodand to eradicating facts at their rootsis not limited to science and public health. This summer he claimed that his policies were leading America into “another golden age” and that economic growth under his presidency “shatters expectations.” The data said otherwise: Whether you’re talking about job growth, inflation, or just about any other measure, the numbers did not chart in a direction favorable to the president. Here again, Trump is not willing to tolerate the facts: When the Bureau of Labor Statistics last month reported numbers that contradicted his sunny narrative, he fired the head of the agency.

Trump and his administration say so many bizarre things about crime, especially in cities run by Democrats. He will say that violence is surging even where it is in fact decreasing, sometimes at historic rates; he’ll imply that it’s all caused by immigrants when in fact relatively little crime is committed by immigrants.

MAGA world is similarly intent on spinning fictions about crime committed by transgender people. After one transgender person shot and killed people at a Catholic school in Minneapolis, White House  aide Sebastian Gorka said on CNN that mass shooters “who were confused about their gender to put it mildly” were targeting Christians because of a “trans ideology.” He claimed that there had been seven such incidents in “just the last couple of years.” The president’s son Donald Trump Jr. said earlier this month that he couldn’t name a mass shooting that wasn’t committed by “a transgender lunatic.” Just before he was shot, Charlie Kirk was asked how many such shooters there were, and he went with an inflammatory “too many.” In fact, there may be fewer than five mass shootings by transgender people in the last 12 years. Only 0.1 percent of mass shootings are committed by transgender peopleand very few murders of any kind.

It will be increasingly hard for correctives on such points to get traction, however, since Trump’s administration has greatly reduced its own ability to collect and disseminate accurate information about crime, removing research staff, as well as impeding the public’s access to crime data, making it increasingly easy for Trump and his administration officials and supporters to freely fearmonger about any vulnerable minority.

Without data, it is also going to be hard not only to fact-check Trump and his cronies but to measure the (most likely horrific) impact of Trump’s policies. That too is almost certainly intentional—or at least very convenient for him. This week, Trump’s Agriculture Department cut its annual food insecurity survey, so Americans won’t know how many people are going hungry as a result of Trump’s cuts to food stamps and other vital assistance programs, not to mention his inflationary tariffs.

Speaking of inflation, other than our own observations at the grocery store or neighborhood food pantry lines, or paying our bills, we won’t have much information on inflation given Trump’s reign of censorship and austerity at the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which tracks prices as well as jobs. (We also won’t know much about the job market, which is likely negatively affected by tariffs, immigration raids, and many other chaos-inducing Trump antics.) We won’t know how badly our children are faring in school as a result of the massive cuts to K-12 education, since he has gutted the Department of Education’s research offices, including the irreplaceable National Center for Education Statistics.

 Of course, Trump’s war on facts has not been limited to their government sources. The two other major institutional sources of information and knowledge, besides the federal government, are universities and the media. Academic institutions have faced Trump’s constant threats and orders defunding them by billions of dollars. As for the media, the administration has attempted to broadly censor their output through crippling lawsuits and totalitarian threats by the Federal Communications Commission.

Some states, universities, and nonprofits are banding together to try to redress the desperate dearth of data that the president has created. The American Geophysical Union and the American Meteorological Society began working together to carry out the National Climate Assessment after Trump canceled it. Ten Northeastern states are banding together to collaborate on vaccine data collection and recommendations (since RFK Jr. and Trump have fully abdicated this responsibility even as Covid and measles and other preventable infectious diseases continue to claim the lives of the unvaccinated, including children).

Many similar projects are underway. Such efforts are necessary and will go a long way to prevent the total eradication of facts and data guiding our policy conversation and decisions. The preservation of some information infrastructure will literally save lives. But it seems unlikely that even such formidable institutions as states, universities, and other nonprofits can make up for a loss of the data juggernaut that our federal government once was. The information these federal workers provided was irreplaceable, and the data-collection infrastructure they built must be considered a model for a more informed post-Trump future.

The assault on data, research, and facts is fundamental to Trump and his authoritarian regime. He seems to understand that data provides the basis for arguments, and he does not want any arguments. He also understands that facts and knowledge can only be nourished and sustained by institutions and experts, so he is destroying those institutions and pink-slipping those experts. We must appreciate their importance and their stakes as well as he does, and remain as committed to the institutions, the data, the facts, and the experts as Trump is to their eradication. He has brought sincere zeal to their destruction, and we must bring an even greater passion to their restoration and renaissance. We will need it, as ours is the harder job.