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Polling
August 24, 2020
Libby Watson
Republican Voters Embrace Trump’s Cult of Destruction
A majority of the president’s base believes the coronavirus death toll is acceptable. What more needs to be said at this week’s convention?
June 10, 2020
Osita Nwanevu
The Disappearing Backlash to Black Lives Matter
Americans are slowly, but surely, growing tired of broad societal injustices—and less susceptible to the right’s mechanisms of racial resentment.
June 8, 2020
Bruce Bartlett
He Is Even Dumber Than We Thought
Four years in office have only convinced more Americans that the Trump might not be a stable genius.
April 16, 2020
Magazine
John A. Farrell
Breaking the Grip of White Grievance
The 2020 campaign is shaping up into a referendum on Trumpism.
February 27, 2020
Osita Nwanevu
Bernie’s Boring Path to Victory
After all the talk of revolution and expanding the electorate, what if Sanders simply wins the same way an utterly conventional Democrat would?
February 26, 2020
Magazine
Rachel Bitecofer
Hate Is on the Ballot
The hidden dynamic that’s transformed our politics—and will loom large in the 2020 election
February 25, 2020
Matt Ford
Democrats Are Playing a Perilous Game With Data
As primary competitors toss around “internal numbers” to claim victory in the early contests, they’re setting a Trumpian precedent.
March 15, 2017
Graham Vyse
It’s not just healthcare. Voters oppose Trump on pretty much everything—even his weird eating habits.
November 7, 2016
Graham Vyse
Is Nate Silver doing it all wrong?
November 3, 2016
Alex Shephard
“Shy white voters” won’t be Trump’s salvation.
October 25, 2016
Alex Shephard
Does Donald Trump have any path to victory?
October 24, 2016
Alex Shephard
No, Donald Trump is not losing because of “oversampling.”
July 25, 2016
Alex Shephard
Donald Trump is leading Hillary Clinton in a bunch of post-RNC polls. Time to panic?
July 13, 2016
Alex Shephard
Outlier polls are (probably) going to get a ton of coverage over the next four months.
June 29, 2016
Saif Alnuweiri
Europeans have even less confidence in Donald Trump’s judgment than Americans.
June 17, 2016
Alex Shephard
Donald Trump is doing so badly he’s tweeting out polls that show him only two points behind.
March 24, 2016
Adam Peck
Nate Silver’s electoral map prediction is the stuff of nightmares for the GOP.
January 29, 2016
Adam Peck
Bernie Sanders supporters are the poll truthers of 2016.
October 16, 2014
Sam Wang
No, Republicans Aren't Guaranteed to Win the Senate. Here's Why.
July 2, 2014
Danny Vinik
Don't Put Much Stock in That Poll Calling Obama the Worst President
Bush was the "worst," too
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