The Fall of Nate Silver
His data journalism blog, FiveThirtyEight, is a political website with no politics—or rather, no politics beyond a mute approval of the status quo.
Polls
The Also-Rans Hoping for a New Hampshire Miracle
Do Klobuchar, Booker, and Bennet have a shot in hell at the nomination?
Is the Biden Bubble About to Burst?
The Democrat still shines in most polls, but as a Trump loss grows more likely, the former V.P.'s "electability" pitch is losing its luster.
Most Veterans Say America’s Wars Are a Waste. No One’s Listening to Them.
There's a widening gap between Washington's bipartisan militarism and veterans' bipartisan war-skepticism.
The Polling Industry Is in Crisis
Everyone knows the numbers are as unreliable as ever, and yet the political press still hypes every little rise and fall.
After 2016, Can We Ever Trust the Polls Again?
Data was a rare source of clarity in the 2008 and 2012 elections. In 2016, it failed catastrophically.
What If the Polls Aren’t Wrong?
The only thing that needs unskewing is the media coverage of Donald Trump's chances.
Donald Trump Is a Serious Candidate
Don't listen to the media. The GOP's greatest troll has a real chance.
Americans Love Jews
But Atheists and Muslims? Not so much, says this survey.
How the Democrats Can Avoid Going Down This November
The new science of Democratic survival
